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Aktualisierung und Prognose technischer Koeffizienten in gesamtwirtschaftlichen Input-Output Modelle

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Brand
Springer Nature
Manufacturer
N/A
Part Number
0
GTIN
9783790805291
Condition
New
Product Description

Gesamtwirtschaftliche integrierte Input-Output Modelle zhlen zu den aussagekrftigsten und ambitioniertesten Instrumenten der empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung. Ihr Einsatz wird freilich durch die mangelnde Aktualitt der Datenbasis wesentlich eingeschrnkt. Die Arbeit unternimmt eine Inventur der Anstze, die in den wichtigsten Input-Output Modellen zur Aktualisierung und Prognose der Matrix der technischen Koeffizienten Verwendung finden. Diese Inventur bercksichtigt die jeweilige Datensituation in den einzelnen Lndern ebenso wie die unterschiedlichen Aufgabestellungen der einzelnen Modelle. Eine kritische Wrdigung der Methoden verschafft einen berblick ber das verfgbare Instrumentarium. Umfangreiche empirische Arbeiten demonstrieren die strategische Bedeutung der adquaten Abbildung der Produktionstechnologien. Ihre zentrale Stellung sowohl fr die Strukturentwicklung als auch fr die Entwicklung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Aggregate wird sowohl durch detaillierte ex-post Simulationen und Analysen als auch durch ex-ante Simulationen illustriert.

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