Neural Networks for Conditional Probability Estimation

Name: Neural Networks for Conditional Probability Estimation
Brand: Springer Nature
SKU: 9781852330958
Availability: InStock

Neural Networks for Conditional Probability Estimation

Brand

Springer Nature

Manufacturer

N/A

Part Number

GTIN

9781852330958

Condition

New

0 Reviews

0 Questions | 0 Answers

Product Description

Conventional applications of neural networks usually predict a single value as a function of given inputs. In forecasting, for example, a standard objective is to predict the future value of some entity of interest on the basis of a time series of past measurements or observations. Typical training schemes aim to minimise the sum of squared deviations between predicted and actual values (the 'targets'), by which, ideally, the network learns the conditional mean of the target given the input. If the underlying conditional distribution is Gaus sian or at least unimodal, this may be a satisfactory approach. However, for a multimodal distribution, the conditional mean does not capture the relevant features of the system, and the prediction performance will, in general, be very poor. This calls for a more powerful and sophisticated model, which can learn the whole conditional probability distribution. Chapter 1 demonstrates that even for a deterministic system and 'be nign' Gaussian observational noise, the conditional distribution of a future observation, conditional on a set of past observations, can become strongly skewed and multimodal. In Chapter 2, a general neural network structure for modelling conditional probability densities is derived, and it is shown that a universal approximator for this extended task requires at least two hidden layers. A training scheme is developed from a maximum likelihood approach in Chapter 3, and the performance ofthis method is demonstrated on three stochastic time series in chapters 4 and 5.

Available Colors

N/A

Available Sizes

N/A

1 Offer Price Range: $39.99 - $39.99

BEST PRICE

Single Product Purchase

$36.00

@ Link.springer.com with extra coupon Get Coupon & BUY

Price Comparison

Seller	Contact Seller	List Price	On Sale	Shipping	Best Promo	Final Price	Volume Discount	Financing	Availability	Seller's Page
BEST PRICE 1 Product Purchase @ Link.springer.com Rate Seller This functionality is for registered users only. Go to Login/Register		$39.99	$39.99		10% OFF This deals requires coupon Get Code Here your10off @ Link.springer.com Deals Ends 31/08/2025	$36.00		See Site	In stock	Visit Store