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Verfahrensvarianten der Conjoint-Analyse zur Prognose von Kaufentscheidungen

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Springer Nature
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9783824483297
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Die Prognose von Kaufentscheidungen nimmt eine zentrale Rolle im Marketing ein. Methodisch wird dazu sehr hufig die Conjoint-Analyse verwendet, die insbesondere seit Mitte der 1980er Jahre eine herausragende Bedeutung als Instrument der Marktforschung erlangt hat, was sich unter anderem in der Entwicklung zahlreicher Verfahrensvarianten uert. Bisherige Forschungsstudien belegen eindrucksvoll, dass keine der Verfahrensvarianten generell dominant ist und dass Wissenschaftlern und Praktikern nur unzureichende Anhaltspunkte fr die Entscheidung, in welchen Situationen sie welchen Ansatz verwenden sollten, zur Verfgung stehen. Thomas Hillig vergleicht sechs kaufentscheidungsbezogene Verfahrensvarianten, darunter moderne Hierarchical-Bayes- und Latent-Class-Anstze, mit Hilfe der Monte-Carlo-Simulation systematisch anhand von verschiedenen Gtekriterien miteinander. Der Vergleich zeigt, dass die Gte der Verfahrensvarianten von der jeweils simulierten Kontextsituation und dem verwendeten Gtema bzw. Einsatzzweck abhngig ist. Auf dieser Grundlage werden konkrete Handlungsempfehlungen fr den Einsatz in Forschung und Praxis gegeben.

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