Copied Empirische Prognoseverfahren in den Sozialwissenschaften
Empirische Prognoseverfahren in den Sozialwissenschaften
Der vorliegende Sammelband diskutiert differenziert sozialwissenschaftliche Prognoseverfahren und ermglicht eine vertiefte Orientierung in diesem Methodenfeld. Kern des Buches sind Beitrge zu methodischen und methodologischen Grundlagen unterschiedlicher Prognoseverfahren. Empirische Beispiele illustrieren die Vorgangsweisen einzelner Prognosemethoden. Abgerundet wird die Thematik mit einem kulturhistorischen Exkurs zur Entwicklung von Vorhersagen sowie mit kritischen Fragen nach dem Umgang von Prognoseergebnissen in medialen ffentlichkeiten.
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