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Die Entwicklung der Zinsstrukturkurve
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Kenntnisse ber die Entwicklung der Zinsstze beliebiger Fristen der Zinsstrukturkurve sind essentiell fr eine Vielzahl von Anwendungen. Beispielsweise fr Fragen der Kapitalanlageprojektion, die im Asset/Liability-Management und im Rahmen der Gesamtunternehmenssteuerung von Relevanz sind, ist die Modellierung und Projektion der Wertentwicklung des Zinstitelbestands die zentrale Problemstellung. Christoph Mayer analysiert traditionelle einfaktorielle Modelle der Zinsstruktur ebenso wie mehrfaktorielle Erweiterungen. Er kalibriert die betrachteten Modelle auf Basis des Kalman-Filters, projiziert die weitere Entwicklung der Zinsstrukturkurve und simuliert die Wertentwicklung eines Beispielportfolios aus Bundesanleihen. Die Auswertung der Resultate fhrt zu Schlssen ber die Adquanz der Modelle.
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