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Das kurzfristige Verhalten des deutschen Rentenmarktes

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Springer Nature
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N/A
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0
GTIN
9783824464432
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New
Product Description

Welche Einflufaktoren bestimmen das kurzfristige Verhalten des deutschen Rentenmarktes? Es kann sich hierbei nicht um ein reines Zufallsprodukt handeln. Das Verhalten lt sich aber auch nicht ausschlielich mit Hilfe von Fundamentalfaktoren erklren. Peter Bartetzky erklrt das kurzfristige Verhalten des deutschen Rentenmarktes mit Hilfe eines Simulationsmodells als eine Folge des Wechselspiels aus stochastischen und deterministischen Elementen. Die zentrale Rolle spielt dabei die Erwartungsbildung institutioneller Anleger. Das vorgestellte Modell ist in der Lage, die Entwicklung des Rentenmarktes sowohl an einzelnen Tagen als auch fr einen lngeren Zeitraum zu erklren. Eine wesentliche Schlufolgerung des Autors lautet, da die Erklrung des kurzfristigen Verhaltens des deutschen Rentenmarktes mglich, die kurzfristige Prognose dagegen wenig aussichtsreich ist.

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