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Risikoaggregation und Monte-Carlo-Simulation
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Dieser Band stellt praxisorientiert die Monte-Carlo-Simulation (Risikosimulation) vor, die es ermglicht, den Gesamtrisikoumfang eines Unternehmens oder Projektes zu berechnen (Risikoaggregation) und mgliche bestandsgefhrdende Entwicklungen aus Kombinationseffekten von Einzelrisiken zu erkennen (Kernanforderung an ein Risikomanagement nach 91 Abs. 2 AktG). Ausgehend von einer Einfhrung zu Risikoanalyse und Risikoquantifizierung wird gezeigt, wie durch die Verbindung von Unternehmensplanung und Risikoanalyse mittels Monte-Carlo-Simulation eine Risikoaggregation durchgefhrt wird (mit Excel und der Simulationssoftware Crystal Ball).
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