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Das probabilistische SIR-Modell (PSIR) im Pandemieprozess

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Springer Nature
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N/A
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GTIN
9783658395957
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New
Product Description

Bei allen Erkenntnissen, die im COVID-Prozess erfahren wurden, bleibt eine wesentliche erhalten: "Das Virus bleibt ein stndiger Begleiter". Im Gegensatz zu regelmig auftretenden Infektionsprozessen nimmt der einer COVIDInfektion einen andersartigen Verlauf ein. Dieser ist gekennzeichnet durch eine Dynamik, die abweichend von herkmmlichen, bekannten Prozessen dadurch abweicht, dass die Verursacher ihre Identitt wechseln und entsprechende Varianten entwickeln. Daher ist ein vorsorgliches Infektionsmanagement - untersttzt durch statistisch-probabilistische Analysen mit PSIR - wichtig fr eine vorsorgliches Vermeidungs-Management der Ressourcen und der Infrastruktur fr die "Wellen vor der Welle".

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