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Klarheit im Denken
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Dieses Buch versetzt Analystinnen und Analysten in Regierung, Privatwirtschaft und Think Tanks in die Lage, globale Risiken und Chancen systematisch zu bewerten, informierte Entscheidungen zu treffen und Unvorhergesehenes zu antizipieren. Die Autoren beleuchten die Grundlagen intuitiven und analytischen Denkens und zeigen auf, wie strukturierte Analysetechniken die Auswirkungen kognitiver Verzerrungen, falsch angewandter Heuristiken und intuitiver Fallen abmildern knnen. Drei Fallstudien veranschaulichen die Anwendung von ber 30 Strukturierten Analyse-Techniken (SAT) in Schritt-fr-Schritt-Anleitungen.
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