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Die makrokonomischen Determinanten des DAX
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Ob und inwieweit Aktienkurse und -renditen von gesamtwirtschaftlichen Gren beeinflusst werden, ist eine zentrale Frage der empirischen Finanzmarktforschung. Dirk Rathjen untersucht die makrokonomischen Determinanten der deutschen Aktienrenditen und leitet elf Faktoren ab, die die Entwicklung des DAX bestimmen. Er besttigt deren Wichtigkeit empirisch, wobei er auch psychologische Faktoren bercksichtigt. Mit eigens entwickelten Methoden fasst der Autor eine Vielzahl von Ergebnissen zusammen und identifiziert optimale Prognosemodelle.
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