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Konsum, Dividenden und Aktienmarkt

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Springer Nature
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9783835057180
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Aufgrund der traditionellen Modelle des Kapitalmarkts weisen sowohl die aggregierten Dividenden als auch der aggregierte Konsum gegenber der Marktkapitalisierung eine zu tiefe Volatilitt auf. Diese Prozesseigenschaft hat zu einigen theoretischen Puzzles gefhrt. Yvonne Seiler errtert im Rahmen einer empirischen Analyse den Zusammenhang zwischen Konsum, Dividenden und Marktkapitalisierung mittels Kointegration und zeigt so eine gegenber den herkmmlich verwendeten Methoden alternative Sichtweise auf. Mittels einer Aufteilung in Schocks legt die Autorin dar, dass die Marktkapitalisierung durch transitorische Schocks und die Dividenden und der Konsum durch permanente Schocks getrieben werden. Die Ergebnisse erklren die empirisch beobachtete tiefe Korrelation zwischen den Vernderungen des Konsums und der Marktkapitalisierung, sodass sich der Konsum als eine Funktion der permanenten Schocks der Marktkapitalisierung darstellt.

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