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Probabilismus und Wahrheit

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Springer Nature
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9783658178772
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Dieses Buch zeigt die ideen- und wissenschaftsgeschichtliche Entwicklung des Wahrscheinlichkeitsbegriffs vom Mittelalter bis zum 20. Jhd. auf. Dabei geht Sebastian Simmert vertieft auf die epistemische Bedeutung der Wahrscheinlichkeit als qualitative Bestimmung von Wissen ein. Hierbei untersucht er die Bedingungen der Mglichkeit quantitativer Wahrscheinlichkeit. Im Zentrum steht die berlegung, dass die elementare Ebene qualitativer Wahrscheinlichkeiten keine Gleichwahrscheinlichkeiten zulsst. Denn sie baut auf einer zweiwertigen Logik auf. Mit dieser Prmisse werden die Grenzen des durch Wahrscheinlichkeiten Aussagbaren aufgezeigt; unter anderem, dass die Anwendung des Gesetzes der groen Zahl keine empirischen Aussagen rechtfertigt.

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